Slate Breaker: College Football Week 4 (Saturday)

Game Picks

Florida @ Mississippi State

I have absolutely no faith in this Florida team. Losing to Miami is understandable but allowing a Texas A&M offense led by Marcel Reed to drop 33 on you leads me to believe Florida is going to struggle to win most of their games this year. Miss State is in a similar situation though as they just got blown out at home by Toledo. This will be a battle of who is worse and I think Miss State has an edge there. Florida pulls out their first win against an FCS opponent.

North Carolina State @ Clemson

NC State is not a good team and now starting QB Grayson McCall is out so there is just no way that the Wolfpack can compete in this one.

Kansas @ West Virginia

I do not know what is going on with this Kansas team. Jalon Daniels seems to have the yips or something because he came out strong last week but as soon as he faced the slightest bit of adversity the offense fell apart and UNLV was able to pull off the incredible comeback. Kansas is the far more talented team, but they just are not playing winning football right now so the Mountaineers will pull out the dub.

Georgia Tech @ Louisville

The Georgia Tech hype was strong to begin the season, but as Florida State has played more games, it looks that that upset was more a result of FSU being bad instead of Georgia Tech being good. This is the Georgia Tech team we have come to expect. They will struggle to beat Power 4 teams but dominate any of the lower conference schools. Louisville is good so there is no way Georgia Tech can steal away this road win.

Arkansas @ Auburn

I love this Arkansas offense. They have a legitimate star on the outside in Andrew Armstrong and in the backfield with Ja'Quinden Jackson allowing them to score points against basically any team. Hank Brown looked great in his first start with Auburn, but there will be growing pains for this group so they will not be able to hang with Arkansas in this one.

UCLA @ LSU

This UCLA team is looking rough. LSU is not looking much better to be honest, but UCLA has scored just 14.5 points per game this season. While turnovers have been a problem for LSU, they will still be able to score points which is all they have to do in order to pull out a win in this one.

USC @ Michigan

This Michigan passing attack is horrendous. I do not care how good the Michigan defense is, they are not going to beat USC if they cannot pass the ball. USC all the way.

Utah @ Oklahoma State

Will Cam Rising stay healthy? If he can, Utah will win easily as they are by far the most talented team in the Big 12 when healthy. This Utah defense will be able to control the Poke attack so as long as Rising is under center for the Utes, they will be able to easily cruise to a road win.

TCU @ SMU

SMU is at the point where they just need to pick a QB. Sure, both QBs are good, but the constant rotation at the game's most important position prevents the Mustangs from establishing any kind of rhythm and consistency on offense. Until SMU shows they can be a competent offensive team, they do not stand a chance against TCU.

Miami @ South Florida

Outside of the SEC and Big 10, no team looks like more of a title contender than Miami. Their offense has looked automatic to begin the season and their defense is yet to face any kind of real adversity. South Florida is a good team given their conference, but they simply do not stand a chance against Miami.

California @ Florida State

Cal right? Florida State is an absolute joke so they will not win a single game until some kind of major shake up happens.

Tennessee @ Oklahoma

This is not the Oklahoma team of old. Jackson Arnold has looked decent but they have failed to establish any offensive threats outside of Deion Burks. They have no run game and no complementary WRs so a dynamic team like Tennessee will easily be able to outscore Oklahoma.

Michigan State @ Boston College

Michigan State has a lot of good pieces, but they are very inexperienced so there have been a lot of growing pains on both sides of the ball. Boston College has an experienced QB in Tommy Castellanos who will be able to score points. Michigan State could surprise BC, but the experience should reign supreme allowing Boston College to pull out another win.

Baylor @ Colorado

The Baylor defense is decent, but it is not good enough to be able stop the Buffs' passing attack. Baylor has yet to establish an offensive identity with transfer QB Dequan Finn so they do not have the firepower to be able to compete with Colorado. The Colorado defense is very beatable but the home crowd will lead the Buffs to play at their best and take home a comfortable win.

Player Spotlights

Quarterbacks

Play of the Day: Garrett Greene, West Virginia (vs Kansas)

There is something wrong with this Kansas defense and Greene is going to take advantage of those issues. Kansas has gotten exposed by some running QBs lately and Greene is one of the best running QBs in the entire nation. UNLV's Matthew Sluka rushed for 124 yards against the Jayhawks last week so Greene should be able to easily produce with his feet. Greene is a very safe play with elite upside.

Cam Ward, Miami (@ USF)

Besides Jalen Milroe, Ward is the fantasy QB I like the most in all of college football. He has been extremely efficient in this Miami offense producing 4 scores per game and over 300 passing yards in each game. This level of production has given him a floor of basically 30 points and he has not even been using his legs. Ward is a good running QB so when he starts to diversify his production, his fantasy production will really take off.

Cam Rising, Utah (@ Oklahoma State)

Rising may be the most reliable starter in the entire country. He does have the most experience out of any QB so his rock solid production makes sense. The only real issue with Rising is whether he will be able to hold up physically. When healthy, Rising is basically a lock for a 20+ points day.

Jackson Arnold, Oklahoma (vs Tennessee)

Arnold has not been a great passer, but he has been a reliable fantasy player thanks to his rushing production. He is yet to pass for 200 yards in a game, but he has been responsible for most of the Sooners scoring thanks to the backfield's ineptitude. Arnold could leave you disappointed if the Sooner offense gets completely stifled, but if they do produce, it will be thanks to Arnold.

Tommy Castellanos, Boston College (vs Michigan State)

Castellanos is an ideal fantasy QB with decent passing and elite rushing abilities. Michigan State is very beatable allowing Billy Edwards to have a day when they last played an FBS opponent so an established offense like Boston College will be able to do whatever they want on the offensive side of the ball. I expect big things from Castellanos this week.

Miller Moss, USC (@ Michigan)

Miller is not going to have a monster day against this defense, but he is far too cheap. He will score around 20 points which will be plenty to deliver value on his discounted price. If you want to save money at the QB position then look no further than Moss.

Running Backs

Play of the Day: Devin Neal, Kansas (@ West Virginia)

Neal's price is just too cheap. He should always be among the top couple RBs, but he is the 9th highest priced QB making him a terrific value. Neal has been having a good year in the yardage department with 122 total yards per game, but his TDs have been lacking. The TDs will come and once they do he is basically a lock for 20 point games. Play Neal with confidence.

Dylan Sampson, Tennessee (@ Oklahoma)

Besides Ashton Jeanty, there is no RB I like more than Sampson. He has finally stepped into a workhorse back role this season and has not disappointed. He is averaging an insane 33.4 fantasy points per game so even with a tough matchup like Oklahoma on the schedule, I am ready to play Sampson with zero hesitation. Sampson should be the top scoring RB on this slate so he is worth paying up for.

Ja'Quinden Jackson, Arkansas (@ Auburn)

After showing tons of promise with Utah, Jackson has finally find a place where he can be THE GUY in Arkansas and the results have been fantastic. He has over 150 total yards and 2 TDs per game in his two games against FBS opponents this year making him an elite fantasy option. It has been all positive for Jackson this year, but he is dealing with a nagging injury so if it flares up it could bring a quick end to a very promising day. Jackson is a safe play regardless of the opponent as long as he is fully healthy.

Micah Bernard, Utah (@ Oklahoma State)

I love this matchup for Bernard. Oklahoma State is a solid team, but they lack size up front so when they face a team like Utah, expect a lot of holes to open up in the running game. Arkansas absolutely toasted this defense rushing for 232 yards and 3 TDs. Following the departure of Ja'Quinden Jackson to Arkansas, Bernard has taken over this Utah backfield with at least 19 touches in back to back games. With plenty of opportunity and a good matchup, Barnard is a very intriguing play.

Kay'ron Lynch-Adams, Michigan State (@ Boston College)

KLA is by far the best RB on this Spartan team. He is starting to get more of the work with his touches increasing week after week, but his talent demands a full time role. He is no guarantee, but if his opportunities continue to increase, he will be primed for some huge weeks and that could begin this week. KLA is worth the gamble at this low price.

Wide Receivers

Play of the Day: Travis Hunter, Colorado (vs Baylor)

Hunter is truly an elite WR option. He is the only consistent part of this Colorado offense with 10 catches per game and over 100 yards in all three games. He is scoring 26.4 fantasy points per game so you are basically getting QB production from one of your WRs. Hunter is absolutely worth paying up for because with how he is playing, I just do not see how he can leave you disappointed.

Andrew Armstrong, Arkansas (@ Auburn)

Since Armstrong has returned from injury, he has been the majority of this Arkansas passing game. Arkansas WRs have 37 receptions over the two games since Armstrong reentered the lineup and Armstrong has 18 of them. He is the only real threat in this passing game which has locked him into elite usage. Armstrong's opportunity alone makes him a viable fantasy play, but he also has the talent to be able to deliver big returns with that opportunity.

Deion Burks, Oklahoma (vs Tennessee)

Like Armstrong, Burks is locked into a huge role. He is not seeing 50% of the work like Armstrong is, but he is still seeing a 35% target share. Oklahoma has had very easy opponents to open the season and this will be their first real test. I do not think they will fare well but that should mean good things for Burks' fantasy production as the Sooners may have to abandon the run game in the first half. With more opportunity on hand, Burks is line for a big week.

Kevin Concepcion, North Carolina State (@ Clemson)

CJ Bailey at QB is a very scary proposition, but Concepcion is just too cheap to dismiss. Concepcion will lead the team in targets every week, but I expect him to be used even more this week. In order to keep it simple for Bailey and keep him out of harm's way, NC State will call a lot of plays that will quickly get the ball into the hands of their best player. He could end up with an absurd 11 catch 33 yard game, but if he is able to find the endzone, he will smash at his current price.

Zachariah Branch, USC (@ Michigan)

Branch has been a bit disappointing to open the year with just 38 yards per game, but he is still USC's best player with the ball in his hands so this seems like the kind of game where he will excel. Branch's talent should rise above the rest of the SC receivers as he will be the only guy who can routinely beat his assignment. Branch is in line for a huge bounce back performance this week.

Dorian Singer, Utah (@ Oklahoma State)

Singer is by far Utah's most talented WR, but he has gotten off to a lackluster start thanks to an easy first victory and an injury to Cam Rising in their second game. Well, Rising is back and Oklahoma State should keep this game somewhat competitive so Singer will have his best game of the season. His usage is unquestioned as he has led the team in targets every game this year so it is only a matter of time until that opportunity turns into major production.

Sean Atkins, South Florida (vs Miami)

Atkins became an elite fantasy WR down the stretch last season with 18.5 points per game over his last 10 games so to find him in the bargain bin is a huge boon for us fantasy players. Atkins' production has been lacking to begin the season but that is because they have been leading in a lot of their games and running the ball a bunch. USF will be trailing this week so expect a lot more passing which will lead Atkins to get back to his old ways. Atkins is an extremely safe play this week.

FanDuel DFS Dream Team

QB Garrett Greene, West Virginia (vs Kansas)

RB1: Dylan Sampson, Tennessee (@ Oklahoma)

RB2: Devin Neal, Kansas (@ West Virginia)

WR1: Travis Hunter, Colorado (vs Baylor)

WR2: Zachariah Branch, USC (@ Michigan)

WR3: Sean Atkins, South Florida (vs Miami)

Flex: Tommy Castellanos, Boston College (vs Michigan State)

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