Slate Breaker: FD CFB DFS Week 5
Quarterbacks
Play of the Day: Caleb Williams, USC (@ Colorado)
Williams is the guy this week. Well he is the guy every week, but this week has a chance to be the hallmark game of what already has been a prestigious career. Williams gets a game against the nonexistent Colorado defense. This defense just gave up nearly 30 points to Bo Nix in just 3 quarters. Caleb Williams is a better QB than Nix and USC has a worse defense which will benefit Williams' fantasy forecast as Colorado should be able to keep pace and make this a somewhat close game keeping Williams in the game. Williams is the best QB in the country so he is a good start every week, but this week will be one to remember.
KJ Jefferson, Arkansas (vs Texas A&M)
Jefferson finally found his groove last week, throwing 289 and 3 while adding 48 on the ground. He is far too talented of a QB to be constantly putting up mediocre stat lines like he has to begin the season, but lucky for us those mediocre stat lines led to a big price drop from a price that was constantly above 10K a year ago. He is a decent passer and a great running QB, but his legs have not been used like they were in the past. He averaged a solid 58 yards per game on the ground a year ago, but is now barely hitting the 32 yard mark. After rushing for 48 yards a week ago, Jefferson looks to be heading in the right direction as he is bound to have better days on the ground in the future. At $8,500, Jefferson will be a good value no matter what but if he gets his legs going he can win you a tournament.
Jayden Daniels, LSU (@ Ole Miss)
As long as Daniels stays healthy and able to run the ball, he will be a solid play regardless of matchup. He is the team's number one offensive weapon both in the passing and running game leading to 200+ passing yards and 60+ rushing with multiple scores giving him a solid 20+ point floor. This week he gets Ole Miss meaning it should be a more competitive game with Ole Miss's offense also able to put up points allowing Daniels to keep his foot on the pedal for the entirety of the game. In this game a year ago, Daniels had a monster game scoring 5 times, twice through the air and three times on the ground leading a near 50 point game for him. If you can afford Daniels, get him in your lineup.
Spencer Rattler, South Carolina (@ Tennessee)
Rattler has been a producer this year. He has racked up 250+ passing yards in every game while adding modest rushing totals to bump up his score a couple points. South Carolina will be able to move the ball against this Tennessee defense leading to another productive day for Rattler. Rattler has already succeeded against this team too with this same matchup being the best game of Rattler's career. He did anything he wanted against this Tennessee defense throwing for 438 and SIX TDs. He put up 40+ points in that game and at $9,500, he can put up 10 less points this year and still be an absolute steal.
Garrett Shrader, Syracuse (vs Clemson)
Shrader has been an absolute monster on the ground. He has a rushing TD on the ground in all the competitive games he has played this year and has averaged 92 on the ground over his last three. Obviously Clemson is a completely different beast than the teams he has been playing over the past couple weeks, but he should still be able to find some room. There is a chance that he breaks a couple long scores on the ground, but at the very least his rushing baseline gives him a good floor in this tough matchup.
Running Backs
Play of the Day: Audric Estime, Notre Dame (@ Duke)
Estime having a lackluster day against the Buckeyes was predictable but he still rushed for 70 on 5 yards per carry so he was effective, he just did not get the opportunity to put up his usual numbers. Estime is a near lock for 20 points since he is a solid rusher and pass catcher and always seems to find a way to score. Duke has been a solid defense overall but they have been a little vulnerable on the ground allowing 114 yards to Will Shipley, the only proven RB they've faced. Estime and this Notre Dame team will be looking to make a statement after taking their first loss, so expect them to ride Estime to a big point total.
Blake Corum, Michigan (@ Nebraska)
I would love this play if Nebraska had any kind of real offense. This game is going to be over at halftime, but Corum should have gotten enough production to be worth his price before getting pulled. He is the engine of this offense scoring 8 times on the ground giving him a baseline of 20 points which is QB level production so he is a great way to spend up if you want to be safe but until he gets a more competitive opponent his ceiling will be lacking.
Will Shipley, Clemson (@ Syracuse)
If a game is competitive, Shipley is a can't miss play. He becomes an elite playmaker when the game gets tight functioning as the team's top rusher and receiver. I expect this Syracuse offense to push this Clemson team like they have in the past 2 years. In Clemson's two tight games, Shipley is averaging 23.9 FD points, a mark he looks likely to match after scoring 32.4 against Syracuse last year. Syracuse has a nice floor as the only reliable contributor on this offense, but it is his ceiling that really intrigues me.
RJ Harvey, UCF (vs Baylor)
Another game and another 100+ yards and multiple TDs. Timmy McClain did perform well on this offense, but it was RJ Harvey who led this offense in John Rhys Plumlee's absence. The team likes to use him in every way possible, he gets plenty of catches and is worked in no matter where the team is on the field. Baylor is in a state of crisis right now so UCF should dominate this game leading to a heavy dose of RJ Harvey. Harvey is as solid of a play as you can get.
Devin Neal, Kansas (@ Texas)
I cannot believe that Neal is $8,000. Yes, Texas does scare me, their D line is for real. Neal has been one of the best backs in the country though. He always finds a way to maximize his yards and he has a propensity to find the endzone with a handful of scores already. Texas could absolutely shut him down but anytime Neal takes the field he has 25+ point potential which would be an absolute steal at that price so he is worth the risk.
Wide Receivers
Play of the Day: Xavier Legette, South Carolina (@ Tennessee)
With no Marvin Harrison and Jamari Thrash on this slate, there is no true elite receiver on this list besides Legette making him a must play. The Gamecocks' only real other option at wideout is out this game leaving Legette with 10+ targets which has translated to a baseline of 71 yards against Georgia and multiple games above 150. Legette will break at least one long catch every game and in what should be a competitive and high scoring game, there is a lot of optimism surrounding Legette's fantasy output.
Brenden Rice & Zachariah Branch, USC (@ Colorado)
This USC offense does a lot of rotating, but there are some guarantees. When in the redzone, Brenden Rice will be in the game. They love his big frame and always gets him involved, leading him to score in every game so far. Zachariah Branch is the gadget player in this offense as they love getting him in open space to see what he can do. He is very shifty and can make a lot out of a little bit of space, giving him a nice baseline since he is guaranteed work and he is very efficient with that work. If they give him a drawn up play near the endzone, then he could end up with a real big day.
Brock Bowers, Georgia (@ Auburn)
Georgia has made a deliberate effort to get Bowers a heavy dose of involvement in recent weeks. He has received 18 targets and converted those in 16 catches for 175 yards and 2 TDs over the past two weeks. He is the star on this offense so Georgia should keep featuring him more and more especially as defenses get tougher. His price did go up but he has a strong chance for multiple scores in any given game so he is worth the price jump.
Ole Miss WRs (vs LSU)
Off the top; if Tre Harris is back, play him. He is dominant and can beat any DB in the country giving him an explosive potential that you can only find in Legette on this slate. But if he is out, Jordan Watkins and Dayton Wade will make solid plays. This Ole Miss-LSU game will be competitive and both of these offenses have shown the ability to score a lot of points so I like the shootout potential here. I expect LSU to win this game with Ole Miss playing from behind for most of the game. That would be a beautiful game script for these WRs, as they have produced solid numbers in more lopsided games so imagine what they could do if this turns into a shootout.
Tennessee WRs (vs South Carolina)
Tennessee has been more of a running team than most people expected after the passing juggernaut this team was a year ago, but a lot of that is due to the fact that Tennessee has not faced much top end talent. In their three wins they had been in control from the get go leading to a lot of running, but in a game against a functional team like South Carolina, Tennessee will be forced to return to their old ways. There has been no true WR that has stood out to start the season. I like Squirrel White since he is obviously Milton's favorite target and he has a nice baseline with 7+ targets per game so if he is able to find the endzone he is a steal at $5,600. It is far more likely that Bru McCoy finds the endzone as he is the big bodied receiver, but both of these guys should have solid games especially with Ramel Keyton banged up.
Ketron Jackson Jr., Baylor (@ UCF)
This Baylor team has been a mess to put it simply, but that has not meant bad things for everyone. Jackson's fantasy production has gained the most from this string of subpar play as Jackson has compiled a boatload of targets to start the year. Jackson has converted those targets into production with at least 55 yards in every game. He has had most of this production with backup a QB throwing him the ball. There is an outside chance that Blake Shapen returns and if he does just expect that receiving baseline to go up. With Baylor likely to find themselves in an early hole expect a lot of work for Jackson giving him a solid baseline for fantasy players to fall back on at an affordable price.
Dream Team
QB: Caleb Williams, USC (@ Colorado)
RB2: Will Shipley, Clemson (@ Syracuse)
WR1: Xavier Legette, South Carolina (@ Tennessee)
WR2: Squirrel White, Tennessee (vs South Carolina)
WR3: Ketron Jackson Jr., Baylor (@ UCF)
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